Wednesday, March 1, 2017

Why Is Your Obamacare Deductible So Damn High? RIP, Prof. Ken Arrow

Who isn’t frustrated by their high health insurance deductible? How often have we said it’s a barrier to seeking treatment? We all do, myself included.
In this, we have failed to learn from Prof. Arrow, a Nobel Award economist. He criticized the idea of Medicare when it was being considered for legislation (it became law in 1966). He pioneered the application of moral hazard to public policy—and here was his point: If the government insures everybody’s health, everybody will be incentivized to become less healthy and more dependent on health insurance. “Moral hazard” refers to situations where people take on risky behaviors knowing that others will pay for their bad decisions. Example: You build a $1 million beach house in a hurricane zone; but government insurance (which underprices for the risk) shifts the cost of rebuilding your home to taxpayers.
Obama economists took this idea from Prof. Arrow, even though it is antithetical to Arrow’s policy preferences. What they did was build in the idea of a high deductible (probably too high), the idea being that if we don’t take care of ourselves, we should pay first before insurance does. That way, we’ll be incentivized to take better care of ourselves.
I remember reading Arrow in the 1980s and thinking he was a heartless and out-of-touch conservative economist. Thirty years later, I have seen the light. Arrow said health insurance should be provided by the government for things that are out of a person’s control—e.g., a genetic illness. But treatments for condition caused by an unhealthy behavior? That should be on the person who made that decision. 
He worried deeply that Medicare would do two things: (1) bankrupt the country, and (2) lead to a mostly unhealthy population.

Prof. Ken Arrow (Stanford)— the son of Jewish immigrants from eastern Europe who was educated in public schools, including college— passed away last week at the age of 95. He worked until the last two weeks of his life.

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