Suppose
Bruce Rauner, Scott Walker, Rebecca Freidrichs (teacher whose case on mandatory
union dues is before Supreme Court)—and many others— get their wish of severely
weakening or abolishing collective bargaining. Will unions wither and die? No.
Unions flourished before collective bargaining, mostly as organizations that
relied on militancy—sit-down strikes, mass protests, coordinated strikes by
area unions at multiple employers, etc. The point of collective bargaining was
to take labor struggles off the street, and out of the parking lot, and into a
conference room where bargaining would replace intimidation.
Would the
end of collective bargaining be the end of unions? Yes, if you lived in Iran or
North Korea, where labor unions are brutally repressed for their mere
existence. Even China today allows unions and strikes are very common there—and
no, this is not why China’s economy is falling (look at a centrally planned
economy that over stimulates industrial sectors, builds cities no one wants, doesn't let its currency float in a free market, etc.).
The bottom line is that unions will survive if the Freidrichs case eviscerates mandatory dues. Unions will tend to withdraw from formal collective bargaining, and fall back to constitutional rights of assembly and a profusion of employee laws that limit unjust dismissal. They will use social media into shaming employers to do more for workers. Unions won’t go away, they will adapt.
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