RealClear Politics gives readers a daily rundown on polling
data.
Through the primaries and general election, the one poll
that stood out for showing more strength for Trump than all the others was
Rasmussen. It turns out it was probably the most accurate poll—so that’s why I
watch it.
It still shows more support for Trump than all the others.
But it shows a very sharp shift since Inauguration Day. That
day, Trump’s approval rating was 56%. Today, it is down to 52%. Trump’s disapproval
was 44% on January 20th. Today, it is up to 48%.
That’s an 8 percentage point swing in about 20 days. Even a
non-statistician can see this is a big problem for Trump and the GOP—and it may
explain the sudden reversal in key policies.
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